Science:Math Exam Resources/Courses/MATH103/April 2010/Question 07 (b)

MATH103 April 2010

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Question 07 (b)
The probability that a newly divided cell will divide again before t hours (where t ≥ 0) is given by $F(t)=1-e^{-t/12}$ (b) What is the probability that the cell will divide between 3 and 6 hours? (Leave your answer in terms of $e$.)

Make sure you understand the problem fully: What is the question asking you to do? Are there specific conditions or constraints that you should take note of? How will you know if your answer is correct from your work only? Can you rephrase the question in your own words in a way that makes sense to you?

If you are stuck, check the hints below. Read the first one and consider it for a while. Does it give you a new idea on how to approach the problem? If so, try it! If after a while you are still stuck, go for the next hint.

Hint 1
If p(t) is the probability density function of a continuous random variable X, then the probability that an event $a_{1}\leq X\leq a_{2}$ happens is given by $\int _{a_{1}}^{a_{2}}p(t)\,dt.$

Hint 2
How can you relate the given cumulative function F(t) to the probability density function p(t)? You don't need to calculate p(t) here if you use the Fundamental Theorem of Calculus.

Checking a solution serves two purposes: helping you if, after having used all the hints, you still are stuck on the problem; or if you have solved the problem and would like to check your work. If you are stuck on a problem: Read the solution slowly and as soon as you feel you could finish the problem on your own, hide it and work on the problem. Come back later to the solution if you are stuck or if you want to check your work. If you want to check your work: Don't only focus on the answer, problems are mostly marked for the work you do, make sure you understand all the steps that were required to complete the problem and see if you made mistakes or forgot some aspects. Your goal is to check that your mental process was correct, not only the result.

Solution

Found a typo? Is this solution unclear? Let us know here. Please rate my easiness! It's quick and helps everyone guide their studies. Again, let X be the continuous random variable that denotes the waiting time. Since $F'(t)\ =p(t)$ we can use the Fundamental theorem of calculus to find the probability that the cell will divide between 3 and 6 hours: ${\begin{aligned}p(3\leq X\leq 6)&=\int _{3}^{6}p(t)\,dt\\&=F(6)-F(3)=(1-e^{-6/12})-(1-e^{-3/12})\\&=e^{-1/4}-e^{-1/2}\\&(\approx 17.2\%)\end{aligned}}$

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