Applying SIR modelling to the Covid-19 pandemic

Abstract

We model the Covid-19 pandemic in two provinces with different population densities in Canada (Ontario and British Columbia) using an SIR model and data from September 2020 through December 2020. We compare the SIR model with real-world data to test for critical factors that influenced the pandemic. By comparing two areas with different conditions using mathematical modelling, we aim to provide valuable suggestions on how to decrease the number of infections.

Biographies

Gao Ziyue is a first-year science student at UBC who is interested in mathematics and analysis. He wishes to study majors related to mathematics in his following academic career.

Zeren Lai is a first-year Vantage Science student in the University of British Columbia who is favor of observation and calculation. His target is to join statistics major in the future.

Chengwei Zhu is a student in the Vantage Science faculty at the University of British Columbia. He is interested on physic and statistic two subjects, and he also get the reward of Waterloo mathematic competition in high school.

Sunny Zhao is a first-year Vantage Science student at UBC, and she is interested in studying Chemistry. In high school, she won the first prize in the “Maker in China” industrial design SME innovation and Entrepreneurship Contest 2020 with her team.