Science:MATH105 Probability/Lesson 1 DRV/1.01 Discrete Random Variables
Note to MATH 105 instructors: here my goal is to define discrete probability with an example"
Discrete vs Continuous Random Variables
to go on the "About" page", or elsewhere
In MATH 105, we deal with
- discrete random variables, and
- continuous random variables.
You will notice that certain definitions and concepts between them will be related.
These concepts are introduced assuming no prior knowledge of probability, but they are discussed with an assumption of integration. That is, probability is introduced as an application of of integration.
We are often interested in quantifying the probability that a certain outcome in an experiment occurs. The probability that a certain event occurs is a number between 0 and 1, and represents how likely that event occurs. A probability of 0 implies that the outcome cannot occur, whereas a probability of 1 implies that the outcome must occur. Any value in the interval (0, 1) means that the outcome only occurs some of the time.
When there are is a list of possible events in the experiment, the
Tossing a Fair Coin Once
If we toss a coin into the air, there are only two possible outcomes: it will land as either "heads" (H) or "tails" (T). If the coin is a "fair" coin, it is equally likely that the coin will land as tails or heads.
Suppose we toss a fair coin and record whether it lands as H or T. If we repeat this experiment many times, the coin will be H 50% of the time and T 50% of the time. And so we say that the probability that a fair coin when tossed will be heads is 0.5.
Tossing a Fair Coin Twice
Similarly, if we toss a fair coin two times, there are four possible outcomes:
Because the coin is fair, each outcome is equally likely to occur. So, we assign the probability of 0.25 to each of these outcomes.
The two rules of probability
- 0 ≤ p ≤ 1
- sum p = 1